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The Uncertainty of Measurements
Some numerical statements are exact: Mary has 3 brothers, and 2 + 2 = 4...
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Types of Errors
Measurement errors may be classified as either random or systematic, depending on how the measurement was obtained (an instrument could cause a random error in one situation and a systematic error in another)...
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Estimating Experimental Uncertainty for a Single Measurement
Any measurement you make will have some uncertainty associated with it, no matter the precision of your measuring tool...
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Estimating Uncertainty in Repeated Measurements
Suppose you time the period of oscillation of a pendulum using a digital instrument (that you assume is measuring accurately) and find: T = 0.44 seconds...
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Standard Deviation
To calculate the standard deviation for a sample of N measurements: Sum all the measurements and divide by N to get the average, or mean...
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Standard Deviation of the Mean (Standard Error)
When we report the average value of N measurements, the uncertainty we should
associate with this average value is the standard deviation of the mean, often called the
standard error (SE)...
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Anomalous Data
The first step you should take in analyzing data (and even while taking data) is to examine the data set as a whole to look for patterns and outliers...
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Fractional Uncertainty Revisited
When a reported value is determined by taking the average of a set of independent readings, the fractional uncertainty is given by the ratio of the uncertainty divided by the average value...
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Propagation of Uncertainty
Suppose we want to determine a quantity f, which depends on x and maybe several other variables y, z, etc...
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The Upper-Lower Bound Method of Uncertainty Propagation
An alternative, and sometimes simpler procedure, to the tedious propagation of
uncertainty law is the upper-lower bound method of uncertainty propagation...
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Significant Figures
The number of significant figures in a value can be defined as all the digits between
and including the first non-zero digit from the left, through the last digit...
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Use of Significant Figures for Simple Propagation of Uncertainty
By following a few simple rules, significant figures can be used to find the
appropriate precision for a calculated result for the four most basic math functions, all
without the use of complicated formulas for propagating uncertainties...
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Uncertainty, Significant Figures, and Rounding
For the same reason that it is dishonest to report a result with more significant figures
than are reliably known, the uncertainty value should also not be reported with excessive
precision...
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Combining and Reporting Uncertainties
In 1993, the International Standards Organization (ISO) published the first official
worldwide Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement...
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Conclusion: "When do measurements agree with each other?"
We now have the resources to answer the fundamental scientific question that was asked at the beginning of this error analysis discussion: "Does my result agree with a theoretical prediction or results from other experiments?"..
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References
Baird, D.C. Experimentation: An Introduction to Measurement Theory and Experiment
Design, 3rd. ed. Prentice Hall: Englewood Cliffs, 1995...